Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FORTH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 3.124882 3.362762 3.630152 3.957804 4.355705 4.833806 5.469988
2025-02-23 2.740757 3.029288 3.374329 3.830757 4.442699 5.278916 6.612313
2025-03-02 2.548987 2.871541 3.275244 3.842416 4.670262 5.951442 8.473295
2025-03-09 2.402812 2.743585 3.184377 3.832719 4.847200 6.606407 10.995383
2025-03-16 2.267063 2.611429 3.066708 3.757824 4.895356 7.055712 13.880206
2025-03-23 2.203565 2.565857 3.058073 3.836344 5.208885 8.200289 23.828332
2025-03-30 2.095408 2.450733 2.938966 3.724456 5.153025 8.483727 33.934383
2025-04-06 1.997208 2.342752 2.821139 3.599888 5.046752 8.590691 49.577164
2025-04-13 1.922500 2.262805 2.738096 3.522596 5.018093 8.917501 145.968884
2025-04-20 1.892889 2.243468 2.742034 3.589222 5.297205 10.471840 NaN
2025-04-27 1.883682 2.251724 2.787053 3.731388 5.786649 13.753581 NaN
2025-05-04 1.844603 2.214598 2.759027 3.738540 5.963120 16.153133 NaN
2025-05-11 1.809580 2.183422 2.740934 3.767655 6.225434 20.710881 NaN
2025-05-18 1.749062 2.112321 2.655382 3.659823 6.088535 21.227877 NaN
2025-05-25 1.716835 2.081616 2.632829 3.672006 6.301636 28.479157 NaN
2025-06-01 1.683120 2.047086 2.601744 3.663579 6.454482 39.874966 NaN
2025-06-08 1.640781 1.997947 2.544006 3.595571 6.401195 46.743945 NaN
2025-06-15 1.626466 1.990240 2.553947 3.666981 6.838569 802.051432 NaN
2025-06-22 1.582974 1.936677 2.484510 3.565210 6.637011 448.222955 NaN
2025-06-29 1.539397 1.881922 2.411321 3.451531 6.376890 164.316367 NaN
2025-07-06 1.505243 1.840712 2.359629 3.380798 6.264388 209.120031 NaN
2025-07-13 1.495482 1.836311 2.369561 3.441779 6.655288 NaN NaN
2025-07-20 1.496863 1.848909 2.408894 3.571526 7.403937 NaN NaN